Probability Distributions for Project Managers
Jun 04,2008 00:00 by admin

Probability Distributions for Project Managers

If we plot the probability (density) function (PDF) on a graph with vertical axis as probability and horizontal axis as value of X, then that plot is called a "distribution." The PDF is aptly named because the PDF shows the distribution of value according to the probability that that value will occur, as illustrated in Figure 2-3. [9] Although the exact numerical values may change from one plot to the next, the general patterns of various plots are recognizable and have well-defined attributes. To these patterns we give names: Normal distribution, BETA distribution, Triangular distribution, Uniform distribution, and many others. The attributes also have names, such as mean, variance, standard distribution, etc. These attributes are also known as statistics.

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Figure 2-3: Probability Distribution.