Determining Your Business
Model
You canand probably shouldspend a lot of time researching a
variety of products and product categories. The more information you have, the
smarter you'll be about what does and doesn't sell well in the eBay
marketplace.
The whole point of doing this research, however, is to help you
make a decision regarding what type of merchandise you want to sell in your eBay
business. Generating loads of numbers is fine, but it's what you do with these
numbers that really matters.
When it comes to determining the model for your potential eBay
business, here are some points to consider:
-
Is this a big product
category? You don't want to peg your business hopes on a category that's
prohibitively small. How many auctions are listed every week, on average? Is
there enough business in this category to generate an acceptable income? (I like
to look for categories that have at least 50 listings a week, on averageand more
if they're low-priced categories.)
-
Is this a hot product
category? Size isn't everything; you also need to look at the percent of
auctions that close successfully. A category with a low close rate is "soft"that
is, customer demand is low, compared to product supply. A category with a high
close rate is much hotter, which means that a larger percentage of customers
want the products that other users are selling. Hotter is better. (I like to
look for a close rate of at least 60%and the higher, the better.)
-
How much revenue can you
generate? Is this a high-priced or a low-priced category? The amount of
money you make depends not only on the number of auctions you can run (and close
successfully), but also on the final selling price of those items. Taking our
earlier example of golf jackets versus digital cameras, you have to sell a lot
more $20 items than you do $160 items to generate the same amount of
revenuealthough selling that $160 item may be more difficult than selling a
corresponding $20 item. Which pricing strategy do you prefer? When you're just
starting out, choosing a higher-priced item might make more senseyou'll have
fewer items to list, manage, pack, and ship every week, although you also have
to take into account how much profit you make on each of the items. If you make
the same $1 profit on each item, you're better off selling the lower-priced
one!
-
Is the category growingor
shrinking? Here's a good reason to track a category over an extended
period of time. There's an ebb and flow to the various product categories on
eBay. Some categories get hotter, some get colder, and some are fairly constant
in their sales. Track a category's sales over time and you can get a sense of
whether that category is on the upswing or the downturn. Obviously, getting in
on a rising sales curve is better than jumping into a once-trendy category
that's nearing the end of its product life cycle.
When you're deciding on a business model, you need to take all
these factors into account. But, as you'll soon learn, there is no one right
model that suits everyone. Some sellers prefer a constant flow of low-priced
products. Others prefer selling the occasional high-priced item. Some prefer
selling the same type of item week-in and week-out; others prefer a bit more
variety and being able to jump on and off product trends over time. So all this
research is just a tool in helping you decide what type of business you want to
run. Do your homework to find the model that you're most comfortable with.
Tip
When you're looking at sales trends over time, remember to
factor in any seasonality. Many categories pick up during the holiday shopping
season and slow down over the summer. Some categories have different types of
seasonality; for example, you'll sell more swim suits in the summer and more ski
boots in the winter. Don't mistake normal seasonality for longer-term product
life-cycle trends.