Discrete Random
Variables
So far, our examples of random variables have been discrete
random variables. H or T could only take on discrete values on any specific
toss: 1 or 0. On any given toss, we have no way of knowing what value H or T will take, but we can estimate or calculate what the
probable outcomes are, and we can say for certain, because the random variables
are discrete, that they will not take on in-between values. For sure, H cannot take on a value of 0.75 on any
specific toss; only values of 1 (true) or 0 (false) are allowed. Sometimes
knowing what values cannot happen is as important as knowing what values will
happen.
Random variables are quite useful in projects when counting things
that have an atomic size. People, for instance, are discrete. There is no such
thing as one-half a person. Many physical and tangible objects in projects fit
this description. Sometimes actions by others are discrete random variables in
projects. We may not know at the outset of a project if a regulation will be
passed or a contract option exercised, but we can calculate the probability that
an action will occur, yes or no.
Many times there is no limit to the number of values that random
variables can take on in the allowed range. There is no limit to how close
together one value can be to the next; values can be as arbitrarily close
together as required. The only requirement is that for any and all values of the
discrete random variable, the sum of all their probabilities of occurrences
equals 1:
∑ all fi(X |
ai) = 1, for i = 1 to "n"
where fi(X) is one of "n" probability functional values for the
random variable, there being one functional value for each of the "n" values
that X can take on in the probability
space, and "ai" is the ith probable value of X.
In the coin toss experiment, "n" = 2 and "a" could have one
of two values: 1 or 0. In the dice roll, "n" = 36; the values are shown in Table
2-1.